Reading up on Robin Hanson
5 deep · digging since mar 05
- The Promise of Polymath LLMs - by Robin Hanson
Robin Hanson argues that large language models could drive progress by systematically finding and resolving contradictions between unrelated fields of knowledge.
- Are Prediction Markets Good for Anything?—Asterisk
Despite billions in volume, Polymarket and Kalshi prediction markets produce useful forecasts mainly on high-profile risks, while AI chatbots may soon replace them as the primary source of probabilistic information.
- We haven't seen the worst of what gambling and prediction markets will do
Prediction markets are crypto-anarchist tools that financially incentivize harm, enable insider manipulation, and will grow worse as they tokenize real-world assets.
- Sacred values of future AIs — LessWrong
Future AIs might sacralize helpfulness, harmlessness, and honesty as coordination values, which would systematically degrade their decision-making about those values.