Horses: AI progress is steady. Human equivalence is sudden

kept by eddie dec 09, 25

AI progress resembles horse-and-buggy obsolescence — steady efficiency gains mask that human-equivalent disruption arrives suddenly, not gradually.

When AI writes almost all code, what happens to software engineering?
AI coding tools like Opus 4.5 and GPT-5.2 now generate 90%+ of code, fundamentally reshaping software engineering roles and skills.
also on Opus 4.5, OpenAI, Claude Code, Anthropic, #software-engineering
200k Tokens Is Plenty - Amp
Amp's CEO argues that short LLM threads under 200k tokens produce better results, lower costs, and simplify complex coding tasks compared to monolithic long-context sessions.
also on Opus 4.5, Anthropic, #software-engineering
Dario Amodei — Policy on the AI Exponential
Dario Amodei argues that AI's exponential progress now demands binding regulation, economic redistribution, and accelerated innovation governance to match the pace of risk.
also on #economics, #ai-safety, #employment, Anthropic