Reading up on economy
100 deep · digging since nov 20, 25
- How to Build Wealth as a Career Person – Asher's Blog
A steady career can build wealth by increasing your value, saving and investing the surplus, and avoiding lifestyle inflation over time.
- The Ethiopian economic miracle - TheBorys’s Substack
Ethiopia has sustained over 8% annual real GDP growth since 2008 despite ongoing wars, driven by state-led infrastructure, hydropower, agricultural mechanization, and mining expansion.
- How to Cash In on Autumn’s Fallen Leaves
Fallen autumn leaves provide valuable habitat for invertebrates, offering homeowners a marketable resource that can be leveraged for ecological and economic benefit.
- We're going to need default hard budget caps on pretty much everything
Default hard budget caps should be imposed universally to curb excessive spending across various sectors and prevent fiscal overruns, addressing systemic issues.
- Highest Mortgage Rates in 3 Years Chill the Housing Market
The average 30‑year fixed‑rate mortgage climbed to 7.4 %, its highest level in three years, intensifying affordability pressures on prospective U.S. homebuyers.
- The making of the Ghetto on a Venetian island in 1516
In 1516 Venice created the world's first ghetto on a former foundry island to confine Jews while still relying on their financial services.
- Stock Market Today: S&P 500 Hits Record High — Live Updates
U.S. stocks rallied Tuesday, pushing the S&P 500 to a new intraday record above 7,830 as the Dow and Nasdaq also rose amid easing Treasury yields and steady oil prices.
- High Interest Rates Aren’t Slowing the A.I. Boom. That’s a Problem for the Fed.
Despite rising borrowing costs hurting households and businesses, AI infrastructure investment remains strong, fueling inflation and complicating the Federal Reserve's efforts.
- In a Major Boost for the Right, Another Bolsonaro Nears Brazil’s Presidency
Flávio Bolsonaro’s first‑round lead gives him a strong chance to win Brazil’s presidency, forcing Lula to rally votes in three weeks to avert a regional rightward turn.
- wsj.com
The Wall Street Journal's WSJ.com delivers timely breaking news and expert analysis on global business, finance, and political developments for professional readers.
- wsj.com
The Wall Street Journal website delivers comprehensive news coverage of business, finance, and global events, offering analysis and reporting for professionals and informed readers.
- The Rise of the Nine-Figure Listing
In 2026, the surge in U.S. billionaires drove a record number of residential listings priced at $100 million or higher.
- Opinion | What Would John Maynard Keynes Say About A.I.? The Keynes Bot Told Us.
A Princeton economist built an AI 'Keynes Bot' to simulate his view, suggesting Keynes would see AI as fulfilling his vision of technology liberating humanity from work.
- Is an Agentic Bank Run Coming?
Agentic AI assistants such as Muse could automatically move household cash into high-yield accounts paying 3.3%–5.0%, potentially triggering a bank run.
- Opinion | The Super El Niño Is About to Unleash Weather Chaos. Get Ready Now.
A major Super El Niño event is imminent, bringing extreme weather disruptions, and the article urges immediate preparation to mitigate its impacts.
- Prices Have Skyrocketed in Russian Supermarkets. We Have the Receipts.
Since Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, supermarket prices in Russia have surged dramatically, with sanctions altering product availability, according to receipts collected by journalists.
- Wall Street Is Growing Skeptical of the Data Center Boom
Wall Street skepticism grows toward data-center IPOs as public backlash mounts against the facilities' energy consumption.
- China’s A.I. Makes a Great Leap Forward. But Its Economy Is Falling Behind.
China's AI advances are highlighted ahead of Xi's US visit, while its economy remains in its worst state in decades.
- Billions in Taxes Go Unpaid. Under Trump, the I.R.S. Won’t Say How Much.
The IRS has stopped releasing its annual tax‑gap estimate, hindering efforts to determine if tax non‑payment has risen under the Trump administration.
- Japan Reaches a Unique Milestone, With More Than 100,000 People Aged 100 or Over
Japan now has over 100,000 centenarians, exemplified by 107‑year‑old Tetsuo Sato who plans to celebrate his birthday at a hot‑springs hotel.
- 10-Year Treasury Yield Touches 5%, Highest Level in Years
The 10‑year Treasury yield rose to 5%, its highest level in years, as investors ignored Trump administration attempts to influence the bond market.
- Want to Entice New Residents? Offer Cash, for a Start.
Cities and towns are testing cash relocation incentives to lure newcomers, but results show mixed success in reversing rural population declines.
- Streaming costs $702 a year more than in 2021 — HonestlyRanked
Nine major streaming services now cost $154.41 per month, up 61% from $95.91 in March 2021, adding $702 yearly for the same subscriptions.
- Will AI soon lead to double-digit growth?
AI-driven double-digit GDP growth in the next 10‑15 years is unlikely because real‑world constraints will limit automation’s impact, despite theoretical models showing it’s possible.
- A childless world changes everything
Declining UK birth rates are closing primary schools, straining pensions and services, and signal broader societal shifts away from parenthood despite potential benefits.
- Why Stocks Are Defying Gravity and What Could Bring Them Down
Stocks are rising due to strong corporate earnings and AI optimism despite Iran war concerns, but rising interest rates increasingly threaten the rally.
- ‘Go Get Your Kicks’: The Europeans Obsessed With a U.S. Highway
European travelers flock to Route 66 on its centennial, chasing nostalgic Americana while distancing themselves from war, inflation, and political turmoil in today's world.
- Will a Turnaround Plan Revive Volkswagen or Merely Delay Its Demise?
Volkswagen's union deal to cut tens of thousands of jobs and reduce output seeks to revive the automaker, yet experts warn it may only postpone inevitable decline.
- Uber is laying off 10% of staff
Uber announced it will lay off approximately 10% of its workforce across multiple departments as part of cost‑cutting measures to streamline operations amid slowing growth.
- The Work of Forgetting
Holdren argues that early 20th‑century industrial physicians used routine medical paperwork to obscure worker injuries, enabling capitalism’s systematic erasure of labor harm.
- New York’s Top .001 Percent Have Grown Even Richer
A New York City comptroller report shows the top 0.001% of earners have grown even richer, highlighting entrenched income inequality.
- As A.I. Money Floods the Market, San Francisco Renters Weigh Buyouts
Landlords in San Francisco are offering tens of thousands of dollars to rent-controlled tenants to vacate, but many deem the buyouts insufficient amid rising AI-driven wealth.
- Nepali Flood Survivors Face Profound Loss, Pressing Needs and Murky Futures
Nepal's recent floods have destroyed homes and livelihoods, leaving survivors without basic necessities and uncertain about how to rebuild their lives.
- Starbase, LA | Hacker News
SpaceX's Starbase expansion in Los Angeles aims to boost local aerospace industry but faces regulatory and community hurdles.
- Homes for Sale in Manhattan and Brooklyn
This week’s featured listings include homes in Midtown East, the Upper East Side, and Crown Heights, showcasing current Manhattan and Brooklyn market offerings.
- Americans of All Incomes Head to Dollar Stores to Stay Frugal
Rising gas prices have driven consumers across income levels to increase visits and spending at Dollar General and Dollar Tree stores.
- Bill Gates Warns A.I. Is More Dangerous Than Big Tech Will Admit
Bill Gates warned that AI poses greater risks than tech companies acknowledge, citing potential mass unemployment and bioterrorism threats to the future.
- Why Wall Street is ignoring big tech's debt [video]
Wall Street is overlooking the growing debt burdens of major technology companies.
- The Amazon tax | Hacker News
The article examines a proposed tax targeting Amazon's revenues, analyzing its potential impact on the company's finances and broader e‑commerce regulation.
- How Moderna Nearly Tripled Its Stock Price in a Single Day
Moderna's stock nearly tripled in one day after revealing progress on a new mRNA cancer vaccine while Covid vaccine demand fell.
- A County Got Rich From Data Centers. Some Question ‘At What Cost?’
Loudoun County, Virginia, earns substantial tax revenue from over 250 data centers, but officials and residents warn that reliance on this income may be risky.
- U.S. Debt Hits $40 Trillion as America’s Borrowing Binge Continues
U.S. national debt surpasses $40 trillion due to war spending, tax cuts, and tariff refunds, undermining promises of fiscal restraint.
- The Bruising Race to Rent in San Francisco Goes Into Overdrive - WSJ
San Francisco's rental market has intensified as AI-driven high salaries collide with extreme housing scarcity, pushing rents to unprecedented levels.
- Groceries Are Expensive. Here’s How 5 Shoppers Are Adjusting.
Five shoppers across the U.S. are cutting back on groceries by switching to store brands, buying in bulk, meal planning, and reducing meat consumption due to sustained food inflation.
- His Wedding Guests Were Arriving—Just as His $45 Billion Fund Was Falling Apart - WSJ
Leopold Aschenbrenner’s $45 billion AI‑focused hedge fund collapsed under excessive leverage just as his wedding guests arrived, forcing a fire‑sale of holdings to Citadel.
- What is happening to jobs? Separating AI hype from reality
The article examines real-world data to assess whether AI is significantly displacing jobs or mostly augmenting work, challenging exaggerated claims about widespread automation.
- How A.I. Mania Turned This Stock Market Into a ‘Version of Squid Game’
South Korea’s KOSPI index has experienced wild swings driven by investor enthusiasm and anxiety over the global AI boom in recent months.
- The Tax Strategy for People Suffering From Stock-Market Success
Investors with large unrealized stock gains can use tax‑loss harvesting or charitable giving strategies to realize liquidity without triggering immediate capital‑gains taxes.
- Nearly 200 Economists and Tech Leaders Warn of A.I. Threats
Nearly 200 economists and tech leaders urge policymakers to better understand and act on AI‑driven disruptions, warning of significant societal and economic risks.
- The Work of Helping A.I. Destroy Work
Start-ups are hiring white-collar professionals to train AI models to perform their jobs, creating a profitable yet unsettling shift that threatens future employment.
- A Third of Young Adults Still Live With Their Parents
About one-third of adults under 35 now live with their parents, a share that has rebounded to the levels seen during the COVID-19 pandemic.
- $24.5 Million Brownstone Is Brooklyn’s Latest Trophy Sale
A Brooklyn Heights brownstone sold for $24.5 million, setting a new price record for the borough and signaling its shift from affordable Manhattan alternative.
- 14 value stocks of companies primed for rapid growth through 2028 - MarketWatch
MarketWatch identifies 14 value stocks from the Russell 1000 Value Index with high revenue growth estimates through 2028, noting value stocks tend to outperform growth during high inflation.
- People Keep Sneaking Into an Empty IBM Campus. This Town Has Had Enough. - WSJ
A vacant IBM campus in Somers, N.Y. has become a destination for trespassing urban explorers, drawing police responses and local frustration.
- Nearly a Million Investors Lost a Total of $3.8 Billion on Trump Crypto Coin
A cryptocurrency analytics report found nearly a million investors lost $3.8 billion on the Trump memecoin, with retail investors bearing most losses while savvy traders profited.
- 6 Things That Drive Us Crazy About Money in America
The piece catalogs six frustrating aspects of the U.S. financial system, including complex tax forms and hidden fees, advocating for simplification.
- Microsoft Disclosure Provides Rare Glimpse of Tax Haven Tactics
Microsoft's disclosure reveals how it uses tax haven subsidiaries to defer billions in U.S. taxes, a practice now subject to new European reporting rules.
- How a Niche Technology Became a Choke Point for A.I.
Advanced chip packaging, critical for AI computing power, has increased US reliance on Taiwan, with political decisions affecting development efforts.
- In San Francisco, Even $180,000 Tech Salaries Are No Longer Enough
Even $180,000 tech salaries in San Francisco are insufficient as AI companies like OpenAI and Anthropic drive up costs, widening inequality and forcing workers to reconsider staying.
- Anthropic Economic Index report: Cadences \ Anthropic
Anthropic's Economic Index shows Claude usage mirrors work and personal rhythms, higher-value work consumes more compute, and users who delegate more are more optimistic about AI's impact.
- California Will Vote on a Billionaire Tax. Billionaires Aren’t Happy.
A proposed California tax on billionaires faces two opposing ballot measures funded by wealthy individuals, highlighting political tensions over inequality.
- 🔮 The state of the AI economy
A bottom-up analysis finds the generative AI economy generated $110B in sales over the past 12 months, with a $175B annualized run rate.
- A.I. Riches Fuel Economic Divide in Asia’s Chip Powerhouses
Rising AI demand boosts stock markets and exports in South Korea and Taiwan, but widens economic inequality by excluding most other sectors.
- Crazy Rich Returns Lure Cabbies and Even Kids to Red-Hot Asian Markets - WSJ
AI boom has fueled a retail investing frenzy in South Korea, Taiwan, and Japan, with individuals pouring life savings into volatile stocks.
- Warsh Makes His Case With Jargon, and a Penchant for Detail
Warsh uses detailed jargon and a penchant for detail to outline a vision for change at the Federal Reserve during a press conference.
- Inflation Accelerates to Fastest Pace in 3 Years as Energy Prices Bite
Consumer inflation hit a three-year high as rising energy costs drove price increases, while businesses resisted passing costs to consumers with stagnant wages.
- It’s Not Just Nvidia. The A.I. Boom Has Ignited Asia’s Chip Companies.
Asia's chip suppliers, not just Nvidia, are surging from AI data-center demand, shifting the global tech power balance.
- The Last Days of the Times Square Red Lobster
The article chronicles the final service at the Times Square Red Lobster, where regulars and tourists celebrated with seafood and biscuits before the iconic location closed.
- British Forces Seize Russian Shadow Fleet Oil Tanker
British forces independently seized a Russian shadow fleet oil tanker for the first time, targeting vessels Russia uses to evade sanctions on fuel transport.
- Inside the Room Where America’s Brightest Game Out How to Avoid an AI Apocalypse - WSJ
A 40-person expert workshop hosted by Windfall Trust concluded political polarization will hinder ambitious AI policy, but inaction will be more costly for the economy and jobs by 2030.
- Rich Californians Are Finding Creative Ways to Get Ahead of the Billionaire Tax - WSJ
California's proposed billionaire tax is prompting wealthy residents to use charitable giving and vacation-home purchases to reduce their net worth and tax liability.
- Everyone Wants to Tax A.I. The Big Disagreement: How?
Bernie Sanders, Trump, and AI companies all support taxing AI but propose radically different methods for redistributing the wealth.
- The World Cup Could Be the Biggest Sports Gambling Event Ever
Sluggish growth in online sports gambling has betting sites like FanDuel and DraftKings banking on the World Cup to drive record activity.
- Should Switzerland Cap Its Population at 10 Million? Voters Will Decide.
Switzerland's upcoming referendum will let voters decide on a constitutional amendment capping the population at 10 million to curb migration.
- Opinion | The Global Bull Market That A.I. Obscures
Since early 2025, international markets have outperformed the U.S. — emerging economies up 68%, Europe 45%, Japan 44% — driven by the global AI infrastructure supply chain and corporate reforms.
- For a Second Time, Trump Muses About Americans Sharing in A.I. Wealth
Trump again mused that average Americans should share in the tech industry's AI wealth, reflecting a growing Washington debate about equitable distribution.
- Billionaires’ Billions Are Increasing Faster Than Ever
Wealth concentration among billionaires is accelerating due to asset growth outpacing economic expansion, illustrated by Elon Musk's trajectory toward trillionaire status.
- Social Security at Risk for Cuts by 2032, Unless Congress Acts
Social Security's trust fund will be depleted by 2032, leading to automatic 22% benefit cuts for 68 million Americans unless Congress acts.
- Opinion | Our Stock Market Is Broken
The SpaceX IPO exemplifies how hype and speculative optimism, fueled by regulatory changes and an insular investor ecosystem, have broken the stock market's link to fundamentals.
- OpenAI Files to Go Public as A.I. Companies Rush to Wall St.
OpenAI plans to raise billions through a public offering, marking a major step in the commercialization of advanced AI technology.
- After Months of War, Iranians Sink Into Disillusionment and Despair
Iran's imploding economy after months of war has created widespread hopelessness and disillusionment, even among those who desired regime change.
- A ‘Miraculous Transformation’: How Kim Jong-un Fortified North Korea
Kim Jong-un used the pandemic to tighten control over North Korea and later boosted its economy by exploiting Russia's war in Ukraine.
- Central Ohio Becomes Hub for Tech and Manufacturing
The Columbus, Ohio area is experiencing a tech and manufacturing boom driven by H1-B and O1-A workers, with local residents seeing no economic benefit but facing doubled power bills.
- Meet the SpaceX Employees Who Are About to Make an Overnight Fortune - WSJ
SpaceX employees and former staffers hold shares worth millions that will become liquid when the company goes public next week.
Takes
Assorted things I've been mulling over regarding agents in the economy: • Companies are in some sense the original superintelligence. It's often the case that they can use their amortized cognitive surplus to advance their interests against those of certain consumers: relative to the optimization capacity of companies, consumers can be inattentive, underinformed, irrational, etc. (Think, say, of some of the classic insurance upsells at the end of a booking process, which is typically priced substantially above what a regular policy would cost.) Herbert Simon introduced the idea of bounded rationality, and firms often end up benefiting from it. Thanks to personal agents, we will probably get somewhat more rational in how we engage with companies. • How exactly will outcomes change? Well, certain kinds of price discrimination will work less well (how do coupons work if every agent hunts fastidiously for them?), and certain kinds of customer cross-subsidy will change (today, people who forget to cancel subscriptions subsidize those who don't). Taken across the economy as a whole, I'm not sure what the incidence of all of this will be. • In corporate strategy, people have long debated the relative importance of distribution and product quality. Perhaps you've made something better, but does anyone know about it? Won't people just continue to buy the ACME Corp Mousetraps? Personal agents will, I think, act as a kind of structural subsidy for product quality. How would markets look different if individuals always spent at least 10 hours researching their purchases? On the margin, focusing on making a product better is, I think, going to become a more effective strategy for companies. This is good! • It true, a corollary is that information about product quality will become more important and impactful. Today, most people have very limited ability to aggregate and integrate such data, but agents will have insatiable thirst for such signals. (It's often said that data is becoming more valuable because it helps in the training of models. That's obviously true, but I think there's a secondary way in which it's more valuable simply as a complement to cheaper intelligence.) • A big question is whether agents will increase superstar effects (rational agents all settle on the same product) or increase dispersion (because everyone has slightly different tastes and preferences, which agents are good at eliciting, finally overcoming the artificial clustering we've been subjected to). • Many internet companies have monetized demand routing, which is in turn often predicated on short attention spans. "I'll click on the first thing I see." This has led to some amount of inefficiency, as companies try to propitiate capricious ranking algorithms and incur various placement fees. It's not all deadweight loss (willingness to pay is itself a kind of signal, which is valuable to buyers), but it's not great. How will the nature and value of this routing change in a world of personal agents? I don't know the answer, but I think that the effects might be pretty big. • Much of what I'm writing hinges on the assumption that personal agents will be on the consumer's side. I suspect that that will be the winning strategy, but whether it's true, and what it means to be true, involves a lot of other questions. Taken as a whole, the market is a massively parallelized, decentralized, and highly imperfect value attribution machine, and, taking stock of all of the effects, it seems to me that the quality point may well be the biggest: that agents will change the nature of the backpropagation such that the rewards for better products increase. Maybe this is too optimistic, but I suspect (and hope) that companies that make things that they're proud of will feel that the universe is a little more partisan in their favor.
@patrickc
Can I ask a serious question? Who are all these people buying $1.5 million houses with 7% mortgage rates, insane property taxes, and the cost of literally everything else going up? Are there really THAT many households making $400k–$500k a year? Because I’m genuinely trying to figure out what everyone does for a living.
@rushicrypto
When Amazon brought me to Seattle to help build AWS, almost everyone at the org was an immigrant. The ratio was probably ~20:1. This “visa abuse” was what was necessary to create the biggest American companies in the history of commerce. The Seattle metro area became one of the wealthiest regions in the world because of this, but let’s shut the whole system down that made this possible.
@dvassallo
the only investment research you need for the next two years is looking at this photo
@gannonbreslin
While I hate that Greg is exposing this alpha publicly... He's right. The tough part is not seeing this trend anymore now that Mainstreet has scaled to 9 figures in ARR through this strategy, Bending Spoons IPO this year, Thrive and General Catalyst executing similar strategies among many others now. But execution in M&A is hard and integration is even more difficult especially in legacy services businesses. Add in debt and cyclical nature it's not full proof. In fact I would wager 50% or more of the current AI holding companies fail due to poor integration and high debt profile. Hence why we hold zero debt we can survive any macro trends or black swan events. Leverage cuts both ways and we're about to see this play out. The best buying opportunity in our lifetime will happen when the private credit bubble bursts in the next few years.
@JesseTinsley
This is generational wealth
@mindfulheal
A Stanford professor took two average stocks, rebalanced them daily, and turned $100,000 into $7 million without predicting a single price. Bookmark & watch today, no matter what.
@Alokkumarzz
I don't really think it's due to people vibe-coding replacements to run on a $10 VPS so they can save $19. That argument never made sense to me. I think the trend is due to a combination of factors: - economy isn't doing great - massive amount of tech layoffs - summer is never good for B2B - less googling in general - Big AI more feature-ful - more competitors etc
@yongfook
That's why I say to every single person I meet You have to book a flight to China now, please visit some of its cities, and NOT Hong Kong or even Shenzhen No visit ACTUAL China, go to Shanghai, Hangzhou, Chongqing, Chengdu, Beijing, Xi'an Ask Chinese people on here before you visit if you can visit their offices, they'll take you out for dinner and show their immense hospitality You and the other 1.6 billion people of the West all have a blind spot and have to understand this country to go forward in the 21st century and the only way to do so is to actually go there and walk around there Be brave and change your flight for Tokyo to a flight to Shanghai! Japan is sick of you tourists anyway, while in China you'll be the only tourist in a 100km2 radius!
@levelsio
Taxmaxxing - when the rich get richer and the poor get left behind. Why? Because he can and is obsessed with getting even more money.
@EvansBuildsIt
Of course they raised $300 million
@amritwt
"The only ones I see winning are those I’ve described a couple of times: people who specialise in asymmetric coups and surfing every possible wave, taking advantage of the currently artificially low price of tokens." This guy writes insanely well and probably right!
@levelsio
hey! you can now shop Amazon for US alternatives with http://knockoff.co! 🇺🇸🦅🎉🚀💥
@Shpigford
I made a live stock market bubble detector that shows bubble indicators updated multiple times per day https://levels.io/bubble-detector
@levelsio
Let It Crash: How to Steer What Comes After
@vijaypande
And then I saw this flying by 🤭
@levelsio