Reading up on predictions

Simon Willison predicts LLMs will write undeniably good code in 2026, sandboxing will be solved, and a coding agent security disaster is imminent.

Zach Wills predicts that by 2026, AI coding assistants will evolve into autonomous engineering agents, rendering current IDE copilots obsolete, and that the biggest gains will come from multi-modal models reasoning over entire codebases.

The article lists 10 predictions for 2026, including dumb phones as status symbols, a backlash against AI slop, and bets on The Real Housewives.

The piece offers 17 predictions for AI in 2026, forecasting continued model improvements but modest economic impact, with no fast takeoff or AI catastrophe expected.

AI in 2026 will see ad experiments in chatbots, proactive agent interfaces, improved computer use, and at least one major IPO from a $100B private company.

An LLM retroactively grades decade-old Hacker News predictions, sparking debate on hindsight bias, surveillance, and the value of public web archives.