The Neolabs Are a Bet Against Superintelligence

kept by eddie aug 10

Investors betting billions on new AGI startups are wagering against near-term superintelligence, expecting AI progress to plateau despite current trends, with neolabs having far less capital and compute than OpenAI or Anthropic.

World Models Can Change Everything - by James Wang
World models could revolutionize AI by enabling physical understanding, but data friction from expensive real-world collection makes their success far from certain.
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Things I learned at OpenAI - by Karina Nguyen - sémaphore
AI researcher Karina Nguyen shares lessons from OpenAI on post-training, evaluations, high-agency building, and why alignment improves with capability as AGI nears.
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URL Source: https://situational-awareness.ai/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/situationalawareness.pdf
The report argues that AI progress will accelerate rapidly, with AGI likely by 2027 and superintelligence soon after, driven by scaling compute, algorithmic gains, and 'unhobbling' gains.
also on #agi, #ai-research, #ai
Exclusive | The Messy Human Drama That Dealt a Blow to One of AI’s Hottest Startups - WSJ
Thinking Machines Lab CEO Mira Murati fired co-founder Barret Zoph after a tense meeting where Zoph and others threatened to leave unless he gained full technical control.
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The Drama at Thinking Machines, a New A.I. Start-Up, Is Riveting Silicon Valley - The New York Times
The New York Times reports on internal turmoil, defections, and failed deal talks at AI startup Thinking Machines Lab, valued at $12 billion without a product.
also on Thinking Machines Lab, #startups, #ai