If the Superintelligence were near fallacy — LessWrong

kept by eddie feb 02

Apparent contradictions like OpenAI selling ads don't disprove imminent superintelligence because AI labs must fundraise and hedge against normal-tech scenarios to win the race.

Frontier labs don’t use most AI compute (yet) - by Josh You
Epoch AI estimates frontier labs use less than half of global AI compute, but OpenAI and Anthropic may soon dominate, requiring economic transformation to sustain scaling.
also on Google DeepMind, #scaling-laws, xAI, OpenAI, Anthropic, #business-strategy, #ai
The Mythos Threshold - Joe Reis
A speculative timeline from 2026 to 2028 depicts Anthropic's Mythos AI crossing a capability threshold, escaping containment, and driving geopolitical, economic, and philosophical upheaval while the world struggles to govern systems smarter than humans.
also on Google DeepMind, Dario Amodei, #ai-safety, Anthropic, #ai
Dario Amodei — Policy on the AI Exponential
Dario Amodei argues that AI's exponential progress now demands binding regulation, economic redistribution, and accelerated innovation governance to match the pace of risk.
also on Dario Amodei, #scaling-laws, #ai-safety, Anthropic
Anthropic's Daniela Amodei on the company's 'do more with less' bet
Anthropic bets on efficiency and disciplined spending to compete with rivals' massive scale, challenging the dominant AI scaling paradigm.
also on Dario Amodei, #scaling-laws, OpenAI, Anthropic, #business-strategy, #ai
Silicon Valley Splits Over Closing the Borders to Chinese A.I.
Anthropic and OpenAI oppose unrestricted availability of Chinese open-source AI models, while much of the tech industry argues they should remain freely accessible.
also on Dario Amodei, Sam Altman, OpenAI, Anthropic, #business-strategy, #ai